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Biofuels vs Solar: Numbers Don’t Lie

  • Writer: Gregory Andrews
    Gregory Andrews
  • 5 days ago
  • 2 min read

Updated: 4 days ago

The biofuels proposition is basically this: use farmland, water, fertiliser, machinery and energy to grow crops, harvest them, transport them, process them into liquid fuel, then burn them in an inefficient internal combustion engine.


Alternatively, we could put solar on a tiny fraction of that land, feed electricity into batteries, and drive. This is why biofuels sit in the same bucket as nuclear power, fossil hydrogen and carbon capture and storage as so-called energy solutions. They’re marketed as climate solutions, but too often they function as delay machines. They keep combustion at the centre of the story. They protect existing fuel infrastructure. They allow companies and governments to pretend we can decarbonise without changing the basic system.


Our World in Data estimates the world uses about 32 million hectares of land to grow crops for liquid biofuels. That’s roughly the size of Poland. Yet if solar panels were put on that area of land, they would generate around 23 times more energy. Enough, in their analysis, to power an entire electrified global fleet of cars and trucks. The difference isn’t small. It’s ridiculous.


That should end the argument for biofuels as a mainstream transport solution. They sound clean because they grow from plants. But the physics is brutal. Plants are not as efficient as solar panels. Solar panels capture vastly more energy from sunlight than photosynthesis does, and electric motors use that energy far more efficiently than combustion engines. EV drivetrains harness 85 per cent of their energy. For petrol engines, its as low as 25 per cent.


Yes, there may be niche roles for genuinely sustainable biofuels: perhaps aviation, or fuels made from wastes and residues that don’t compete with food, nature or Country. They might be relevant where electrification is genuinely hard. But that’s not the same as turning agricultural land or natural habitat into fuel plantations.


Biofuels create huge land-use pressure because they compete with food production. And they drive deforestation and biodiversity loss. This all creates more emissions. When land-use impacts are counted, biofuels can actually produce more CO2 than the fossil fuels they replace.


For Australia, the case for biofuels is particularly weak. We’re one of the sunniest and windiest countries on Earth. CSIRO’s analysis confirms that solar and wind, backed by storage and transmission, remain Australia’s lowest-cost new-build electricity options.


So why would we grow fuel to burn in engines when we can harvest sunlight directly and use it in efficient electric vehicles? Biofuels are not a new energy revolution. They’re an old combustion story with a green label stuck on the bowser.


The future of transport is not more burning. It’s electrification: renewable energy, batteries, public transport, active transport, better planning, lighter vehicles, and less wasteful movement of people and goods.


We need to stop pretending every “alternative fuel” is equally serious. Some are essential. Some are niche. Some are distractions. Biofuels aren’t the answer to road transport. They’re land-hungry, inefficient, contested, and too easily captured by industries that want to keep the world burning stuff.


 
 
 

17 Comments


Phil
4 days ago

The last cost of refueling our diesel 4x4 was $310. Thats good for 900-1000 kms.

The cost of 1 x 440 Watt good quality solar panel is $199. It's good for 20 years. So in one year my spend on diesel is about the same as 5kW of solar. The 5kW of solar we have charges my EV, runs the aircon, cooks our food, runs the fridge, earns money from the grid and makes our electricity bills around $58 a quarter instead of $580. I think an 8 year old could decide which is the way to go.

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Bob Hinkley
4 days ago

When powering anything it's always been wise to use the cheapest method that can be implemented safely. It's time to move from using gasoline and ethanol to using the sun.

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Gregory Andrews
Gregory Andrews
4 days ago
Replying to

Totally. I'm technology neutral which means I'm not against anything except the safest, cleanest and most reliaable and affordable energy. The answer comes from the sun!

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Christine
4 days ago

Thanks for this info, Greg, as it had never occurred to me that there were any issues with biofuel. In Queensland, at least, we do produce this from cane. Your blog has shown that, with time, Australia can do things better. It may be a while, though, before combustion vehicles are phased out. Keep in mind that not everyone can afford EVs (including me!), nor is public transport always an option.

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Gregory Andrews
Gregory Andrews
4 days ago
Replying to

Thanks Christine. Yes, the phase down will take time. But EVs have already reached price parity with ICE vehicles and the lower running costs make them even more affordable.

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Perri
4 days ago

I agree with you contention that biofuels are a waste of time—Australian biofuels centre on sugar (because of sugar in North Queensland), but it is the least efficient of all fuels — offering an Energy Return on Energy Invested of only a little over 1. In other words, it is only useful if it produces fuel that we have no other way of producing.

Nuclear and solar offer a similar EROEI at the lower level, but long-lived nuclear is far better than solar with an EROEI of over a 100:1 for nuclear, compared with solar of a around 40-50:1.

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Perri
2 days ago
Replying to

Nuclear, like anything built in Australia, is horrendously expensive compared to overseas. It is only commercially unviable in Australia because of our corporate governance and all the legislation that we put in the way of large projects.

As for overseas countries extending the life of nuclear plants, this is partially true. The Koreans were going to scrap their nuclear industry, but reversed that decision. They operate 26 reactors and have 4GWe of nuclear power under construction to replace 1.2 GWe of reactors being shutdown (age related issues etc). So definitely growing.

Sweden is planning several, although they are a little behind.

Switzerland has a few reactors, wanted to shut them down, but has since changed its mind and wants to…

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Richard
5 days ago

Great work Greg. We will need biofuels for sustainable aviation fuel and as a replacement for marine oil in transoceanic shipping. The good news is we won’t need to expand the area under production as we will have sufficient feedstock as we switch our road transport to battery electric.

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Gregory Andrews
Gregory Andrews
4 days ago
Replying to

Thanks Richard

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